Finding Winners is Hard
When it comes to finding winners
Centaur are about as good as it gets.
For the last four years we have made
considerable profits for our clients (see
www.centaurglobal.com).
However, even we find it hard at times. Hardly
surprising when you consider that an
average day’s 3 meeting, 18 race
programme will feature some 200
or so horses and, by definition,
only 18 winners.
No, finding winners is hard. In the
majority of cases even the jockey and
trainer do not know. They may feel
their horse has a good chance - yes,
but then so might several other
trainers and jockeys. And if those
closest to the horse don’t know, what
chance Joe Public?
Not a lot.
Finding Losers is Easy
However, if it’s losers you’re looking for
- well, that’s a different story. Open the
racing page, stick a pin in, and, as
seen from the foregoing, you have
more than a 90% chance of picking a
loser. Narrow it down to favourites only
and, amazingly, it is still odds-on that
you will pick a loser. Why? Because
more than 2 out of every 3 favourites
lose. Indeed, in some classes of race
the failure rate is 3 out of 4. Hence,
rich bookies, poor punters.
Until now.
The Betting Exchange Revolution
Traditionally, the only way to make
money betting on horses - or, more
often than not, lose money - was by
backing those all too hard to find
winners. And, to place your bet, you
placed it with a bookmaker who had
all the odds in his favour.
Now all of that has changed.
The introduction in 2001 of the Betting
Exchanges has done for horserace
betting what spread betting, contracts
for difference, warrants, futures,
options and the like have done for the
stock market investor. Just as investors
and traders can now profit as easily
from falling share prices as from rising
ones, (ie, they can bet on the price of
a stock going down and profit when
it does), so Betting Exchange traders
can bet on a horse losing and, if and
when it does, profit accordingly.
Exchange is no Robbery
Just as stock market brokers and
dealers match buyers (those who
believe the price will rise) and sellers
(those who believe the price will fall)
so the Betting Exchanges match
backers (those betting on a horse to
win) and layers (those betting on a
horse to lose).
You believe a particular horse will lose,
someone else believes it will win. Your
bets are matched. The horse loses, you
get their money; the horse wins they
get yours. How much changes hands
depends on the size of the trade and
the odds it was transacted at.
And what do the Exchanges get
out of it?
Well, unlike bookmakers they do not
mind who wins or loses. They are
facilitators, nothing more. And for
providing the facility they charge a
small commission on winning trades.
Profiting from Losers
As we have seen with 9 out of 10
horses losing and 2 out of 3 favourites
going down, if it is losers you are
looking to profit from, the odds are
heavily in your favour. Add to this
Centaur's proven expertise and you
have a winning combination.
Recession Proof, Bomb Proof
Unlike the stock market which
continues to live under the twin threats
of recession and of further terrorist
outrages - outrages that can wipe 25%
off share prices in a day - the
consistent returns offered by The
Bismark are unaffected by the
economy and by other world events
beyond our control.
Tax Free
All Bismark/Betting Exchange profits
are tax free.